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Strategy prompt

Inversion: list every way this could fail

Charlie Munger's tool: find every realistic way an initiative dies, then turn each into a preventive action.

How it helps

You get a list of the specific ways the plan could fail, each paired with something you can do now to prevent it.

How to use it

  1. Copy the prompt below.
  2. Swap each [bracket] for your own details. The more specific you are, the better the answer.
  3. Paste it into Claude, ChatGPT, or Gemini and send it.

The prompt

I want you to help me solve a problem using Inversion, the mental model from Charlie Munger. Instead of asking 'How do I make this succeed?' I want you to start with 'How would I guarantee this fails?' List every realistic way this initiative could die in the alcohol beverage industry: distribution mistakes, pricing mistakes, brand positioning errors, operational failures, compliance issues, team failures, market timing. Be specific to [wine, beer, or spirits] as appropriate. Then flip each failure mode into a concrete preventive action I can take. My goal: [DESCRIBE WHAT YOU'RE TRYING TO ACHIEVE]

What you fill in

  • wine, beer, or spirits
  • DESCRIBE WHAT YOU'RE TRYING TO ACHIEVE

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